MSI Futures and Day 1

Group stages at international tournaments are the peak of LoL to me. The highest quality? No. The most meaningful matches? No. But the promise of anything being possible for every team, the development of the tournament meta, and the diversity (in style, culture, etc) of each league showing itself internationally is as cool as esportsContinue reading “MSI Futures and Day 1”

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LEC and LCS Weekend Playoff Betting Preview

I love playoff LoL. Others might get excited by the variance and chaos of trying to predict what +400 dog is going to win each week in the LEC and LCS regular seasons, but for me, watching the best teams make in series adjustments, play what they think is best, and pull out their pocketContinue reading “LEC and LCS Weekend Playoff Betting Preview”

3/12-3/14 LEC and LCS Betting Preview

It’s the last week before playoffs and it’s time to take a look back at my power rankings from the beginning of the season: LEC G2 Fnatic Rogue Mad Lions Misfits Vitality XL S04 SK Astralis LCS Cloud9 Team Liquid 100 Thieves Evil Geniuses TSM Flyquest Immortals CLG Dignitas Golden Guardians So far, not badContinue reading “3/12-3/14 LEC and LCS Betting Preview”

Thrive Fantasy LEC/LCS Value Picks

A lot of having a profitable betting/DFS season last year for me was learning when not to play. Early on, there would be slates or games where I had strong feelings, but had not done the requisite level of research for a full 5 game slate in DFS or my model told me to betContinue reading “Thrive Fantasy LEC/LCS Value Picks”

Worlds Final Betting Breakdown

With Suning coming through for a +12 units last weekend, the LoL World Championship is all but guaranteed to be  my most profitable LoL gambling venture this year. When I set out posting plays on Twitter in January, I did it mostly to find a community to talk about this stuff with. I wasn’t usingContinue reading “Worlds Final Betting Breakdown”

Damwon G2 Betting Breakdown

Here we are, two more weeks of LoL. It’s bittersweet. In some ways, I’m ready to think about something else for a stretch, in other ways it’s hard to say goodbye when I finally feel like I’ve got a good grasp on things. There will always be next season to improve on. Before we getContinue reading “Damwon G2 Betting Breakdown”

Top Esports-Fnatic Betting Breakdown

What a win by Suning this morning! I decided to hedge all my futures positions on JDG with a Suning ML bet last night and, boy, am I glad about that! Everything I thought would push JDG over the edge in this series– teamfighting, macro gameplay, and experience– looked like it belonged to Suning. TheContinue reading “Top Esports-Fnatic Betting Breakdown”

Damwon-DRX Betting Breakdown

Above is my finals futures positions for the tournament including my adds from today on JDG and G2. I’m not sure what made the books go sour on JDG in the group stage, but I still think they deserve to be much closer to a co-favorite with Top and Damwon. So, I spent this morningContinue reading “Damwon-DRX Betting Breakdown”

Group C betting breakdown

That’s two days in a row that a team has seemingly found themselves one game too late: first it was Team Liquid, then it was PSG Talon. I was always a bit skeptical of the idea that Talon was a huge underdog to Rogue in this group, but I thought they had made too manyContinue reading “Group C betting breakdown”

Group B Betting Breakdown

The curse of TSM puts us a little bit behind in Week 1 of Worlds again. They are one of the most difficult teams to handicap because they are mostly held back by their own mental fortitude. They actually have laned well enough to put them in advantageous positions in two out of the threeContinue reading “Group B Betting Breakdown”